This alert expired on 18 July 2026 at 18:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 27 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 2:13PM EDT until July 18 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC
An estimated 46,597 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 27, 2026 · score 34 · 8.7 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 34 · 12.4 km
- May 28, 2026 · score 39 · 22.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 37.7066, -78.2880 |
| Nearest City | Charlottesville (40 km) |
| Population Exposed | 46.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-18T18:13:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18554956d98ef31b80a3b4e18bc4093a |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Durham, NC; Granville, NC; Person, NC; Granville, NC; Wake, NC; Durham, NC; Granville, NC and 5 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 2:13PM EDT until July 18 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC |
| Expires | 2026-07-18T14:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Raleigh NC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 8 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18554956d98ef31b80a3b4e18bc4093aeabd479a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ce258af5260d021ff6f9ed6e064f0d77ac997df4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b2e7d028289b737c6d5bd67395804823588b862.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.beecc646ceb5c9e8f53b352e663e5819c8b29550.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.37bb021edd08dc99534aa2125f082e46dab7e03c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.342aadd53a58f384783bba223f55887a6b610efb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.103ab6d3237638531ce5a8ae8a2f3851cd360fef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1796f09b4d847fe1555df348bdd508286897fb64.002.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.